A Deep Dive Into Bitcoin Country Adoption and Its Global Impact

15 de octubre de 2024

Author: Bitcoin Magazine Pro Team


Across the globe, conversations about Bitcoin have shifted from "What is Bitcoin?” to “How do I use Bitcoin?” The rise of Bitcoin adoption by countries is helping to facilitate this transition as global economies experiment with it. This article will explore how Bitcoin country adoption influences global economies and identify opportunities for leveraging this trend for financial innovation and growth with bitcoin indicators.

Bitcoin Magazine Pro’s Bitcoin Analysis can help readers understand Bitcoin country adoption and its effects on global economies to identify opportunities for leveraging this trend for financial innovation and growth. 

What is Bitcoin Adoption?

what is Bitcoin Country Adoption

Bitcoin adoption refers to accepting and integrating Bitcoin as a widely used currency or store of value. It encompasses the growing number of individuals, businesses, and institutions that embrace Bitcoin and incorporate it into their daily transactions or investment strategies. 

Adoption plays a crucial role in the mainstream acceptance and utilization of Bitcoin, contributing to its overall liquidity and stability. Various indicators, such as merchant acceptance, user adoption, institutional investment, and regulatory developments, can measure adoption. 

The User Perspective: How Individuals Adopt Bitcoin

For individuals, Bitcoin adoption means using Bitcoin for everyday transactions and payments. Personal adoption also means choosing Bitcoin as a means of payment over traditional fiat currencies. Many early adopters of Bitcoin sought to use its intended purpose: to facilitate peer-to-peer transactions without the interference of banks or governments. 

In the years since, Bitcoin has proven to be a reliable store of value, and many users have adopted it as a long-term investment.

Business and Institutional Adoption: The Road to Mainstream Acceptance

On a broader scale, adoption involves businesses and institutions implementing Bitcoin payment solutions or incorporating it into their financial operations. This can include accepting Bitcoin as a form of payment, offering Bitcoin-based financial services, or integrating Bitcoin into their treasury management strategies. 

Notable examples of adoption include major companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets and enabling customers to buy products or services using Bitcoin.

What Does It Mean to Truly Adopt Bitcoin?

meaning of adopting bitcoin - Bitcoin Country Adoption

Many think “bitcoin adoption” means a person or business has bought some. For instance, if a family has purchased $10 worth of Bitcoin, they might claim they’ve adopted Bitcoin. But this isn’t indeed adoption. Instead, it would be like someone saying they’d adopted stocks because they bought a share of Apple. Actual adoption means recognizing Bitcoin’s role as the world’s best hard money asset—a monetary asset with a strictly limited supply. 

This means that Bitcoin is recognized as the best risk-adjusted and most liquid investment opportunity today. It means realizing that Bitcoin is on a path to potentially becoming the world’s most valuable system for value storage and transfer. 

Degrees of Adoption: Why It Matters

Because bitcoin is a monetary asset, its degree of adoption can grow over time along a spectrum for each individual who adopts it. A novice can begin by buying $10 worth and leave it on an exchange, and with time, she can shift a more significant portion of her savings into Bitcoin as she learns about it. 

In this respect, it’s different from the adoption process for most technologies, in which adoption is nearly binary, like the question of owning a car (or maybe two) as opposed to no vehicle or owning a mobile computing device (or two) as opposed to none. In contrast, bitcoin adoption at the individual level is a sliding scale between dabbling and committing a significant portion of one’s net worth. 

What Bitcoin Adoption Means for Financial Advisors

This has important implications for financial advisors. While you may think that putting 20% of your net worth into Bitcoin sounds outlandish, I can tell you it’s already happening. In the last year, I’ve been contacted by numerous financial advisors who are building their businesses around Bitcoin. Their clients aren’t allocating 1% of their portfolios to Bitcoin—they’re allocating 10% to 30%. For these advisors, the cornerstone of their practice isn’t stocks, bonds, or real estate; it’s bitcoin. For some financial advisors, bitcoin is already graduating past being the next Amazon (AMZN). It’s now on its way to becoming something more like the next gold or even the following S&P 500—and possibly the largest asset class in a client’s portfolio. 

Yet, the fraction of current and potential financial advisory clients treating it this way is still small enough that it could grow dramatically this decade. As the percentage of the American and global population that has genuinely adopted Bitcoin grows, I expect financial advisors on the right side of this trend to reap rich rewards. Building a practice around Bitcoin is unnecessary, but financial advisors would be wise to find ways to ride the Bitcoin adoption wave. It’s just getting started. 

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What Are the Biggest Factors Driving Bitcoin Adoption?

biggest factors - Bitcoin Country Adoption

Bitcoin's Perception as a Store of Value

Bitcoin's reputation as a store of value is one of the most crucial elements driving its adoption. Unlike traditional fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation due to central bank policy, Bitcoin has a fixed supply limit of 21 million coins. This scarcity is intended to maintain Bitcoin's value and shield it from the devaluation that can occur with fiat currencies. 

Individuals and organizations have turned to Bitcoin as a hedge against currency depreciation as concerns about inflation have intensified, particularly in the aftermath of economic uncertainty.

Institutional Investment

Institutional investment has been essential in propelling Bitcoin adoption to new heights. Bitcoin is gradually being recognized as an asset class worthy of investment by major corporations, hedge funds, and asset managers. This shift in attitude has resulted in significant capital inflows into the digital currency industry. 

Several factors have fueled institutional interest in Bitcoin, including: 

  • The desire for portfolio diversification
  • The potential for high returns
  • The rising acceptance of Bitcoin as an actual store of value

Growing Acceptability and Integration

As Bitcoin has progressed from obscurity to widespread acceptability, it has been more integrated into the traditional financial system. Leading payment processors and financial institutions have started to provide Bitcoin-related services, making it easier for consumers to purchase, sell, and store Bitcoin. 

In addition, specific nations and regions have taken steps to establish regulatory clarity, creating a more favorable atmosphere for Bitcoin adoption.

Technological Advances

Technological advances inside the ecosystem have also aided Bitcoin acceptance. Secure and user-friendly wallets, exchanges, and custody solutions have made it easier for individuals and institutions to connect with Bitcoin. 

Introducing Bitcoin-related financial products, such as futures contracts and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has provided investors with new ways to obtain exposure to Bitcoin price changes.

Global Economic Instability

Global economic instability, aggravated by events like the COVID-19 epidemic and geopolitical conflicts, has prompted many people to seek alternative financial assets, such as Bitcoin. In times of crisis, decentralized, borderless money that works independently of established financial institutions has proven increasingly intriguing. Furthermore, Bitcoin's capacity to conduct cross-border transactions without intermediaries has established it as a crucial tool for individuals and enterprises navigating international financial issues.

Increased Accessibility

The rising accessibility fueled Bitcoin acceptance. Thanks to digital currency exchanges, mobile apps, and peer-to-peer networks, individuals may acquire, keep, and use Bitcoin more easily than ever. The presence of Bitcoin ATMs in various places worldwide has increased its accessibility. These devices enable customers to buy Bitcoin with cash, linking the digital and physical worlds.

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)

FOMO, or the fear of missing out, has played a psychological effect in pushing Bitcoin acceptance. With Bitcoin's price seeing substantial rallies and media attention, more people have been motivated to participate to avoid missing out on possible benefits. Social media, news coverage, and word-of-mouth debates have aided the FOMO phenomenon. 

Many newbies have been enticed by stories of early Bitcoin investors who became millionaires, which has fueled their desire to engage in the market.

Financial Inclusivity

Another compelling aspect driving acceptance is Bitcoin's ability to foster financial inclusivity. Bitcoin provides an alternate means of making financial transactions in areas where traditional banking services are unavailable. Individuals without access to conventional banks can participate in the global economy using Bitcoin wallets and smartphones. 

Bitcoin-powered remittance businesses have allowed migrant workers to send money to their families back home. By lowering fees and enhancing efficiency, this use case has the potential to revolutionize the remittance sector.

Use Case Evolution

Bitcoin's use cases have evolved beyond its status as a digital store of wealth. Various merchants and online platforms have adopted it as a payment method. Some businesses accept Bitcoin in exchange for products and services, allowing consumers to spend their holdings immediately. Furthermore, the Lightning Network, a second-layer Bitcoin solution, has increased its scalability and speed, making it ideal for everyday transactions. This advancement has increased the utility of Bitcoin as a medium of exchange.

Regulatory Clarity and Compliance

More precise regulatory frameworks and enhanced compliance initiatives have accelerated Bitcoin adoption. Digital currency exchanges and businesses have made strides in conforming to anti-money laundering (AML) and know-your-customer (KYC) rules. Adopting regulatory best practices has established trust in users and investors alike, lowering the notion of illegal behavior in the market. Improved compliance procedures have also cleared the door for institutional adoption, as institutions feel more at ease participating in a regulated environment.

Bitcoin Adoption Obstacles

While these factors have fueled Bitcoin adoption, obstacles remain. Price volatility is a worry since large price swings can deter some consumers and companies from using Bitcoin as a payment method. Scalability concerns, as well as high transaction fees during times of network congestion, have sparked debate among the Bitcoin community. 

Legislative developments and prospective changes in tax treatment may impact Bitcoin's attractiveness to investors and consumers. In some regions, regulatory uncertainty may discourage firms from fully embracing it. 

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El Salvador Marks 3 Years of Bitcoin Adoption With $31M Profit

el salvador contribution - Bitcoin Country Adoption

El Salvador made history on September 7, 2021, by adopting Bitcoin as legal tender. The decision aimed to boost financial inclusion, make remittance payments faster and cheaper, and attract Bitcoin investment and innovation. 

Under President Nayib Bukele, the Central American nation has aggressively pursued this strategy, prompting critics to label it a "Bitcoin Country" 

Three Years In The Financial Results of El Salvador’s Bitcoin Adoption

El Salvador is celebrating its Bitcoin anniversary, marking three years since the country adopted Bitcoin as legal tender on Sept. 7, 2021. El Salvador became the world’s first country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender to promote financial inclusion, facilitate more efficient remittance payments, and attract financial innovation.

President Nayib Bukele’s decision to adopt Bitcoin made the country a historical digital asset pioneer, according to Alex Momot, founder and CEO of Peanut Trade, a market maker specialized in token launch strategy.

He told Cointelegraph:

“El Salvador’s experiment with Bitcoin can be seen as a success. The country acted as a pioneer, taking risks and trying something radically new. While it’s too early to declare whether all aspects of the reform were successful, it’s clear that El Salvador has reaped some benefits.”

El Salvador has been dollar-cost-averaging into Bitcoin since 2021, buying 1 Bitcoin daily as part of its adoption plans.

The country’s wallet currently sits on over $31 million worth of profit, according to the Nayib Bukele Portfolio Tracker website.

El Salvador bought its Bitcoin holdings at an average price of $43,877 per BTC. As of 10:55 a.m. UTC on Sept. 7, Bitcoin traded at $54,300.

According to Momot, El Salvador’s $31 million Bitcoin profit makes the decision a net economic win despite the initial criticism.

The CEO told Cointelegraph:

“This financial gain further strengthens Bukele’s position, as the initiative now appears to be yielding tangible benefits, adding another layer of validation to his bold experiment.”

According to the country’s treasury website, El Salvador currently holds 5,865 Bitcoin worth over $318 million. 

The Impact of El Salvador’s Bitcoin Profit

El Salvador's recent Bitcoin profit is significant and may impact other nations considering Bitcoin adoption. Analysts expect the reported gains to improve the country’s image, which has suffered after the price of Bitcoin crashed in 2022. Critics of El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption expressed concerns about the initiative’s sustainability, especially as the country’s economy was reportedly experiencing a recession when it made its historic decision to adopt Bitcoin.

The country’s Bitcoin profits may soothe worries about its plans and spur greater confidence in its ability to improve the economy. Bitcoin Country adoption models early adoption benefits, potentially aiding struggling economies. 

Why Haven’t Other Nations Adopted Bitcoin? 

Since Bitcoin’s economic model benefits early adopters, investors anticipated a wave of countries following El Salvador’s bold decision to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. However, only one additional country has since adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, while major economies still need to be more open.

In April 2022, the Central African Republic became the second country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender and legalize its use to bolster the economy and financial inclusion.  Larger economies will likely stray away from Bitcoin adoption due to their dependence on relations with international creditors, explained Momot:

“The bigger the country, the less likely it is to take such risks. This is because larger economies often depend on relationships with international creditors, who are strongly opposed to such moves.”

According to Harshit Gangwar, the head of marketing and investor relations at Transak, the International Monetary Fund pressured even El Salvador to reverse its 2021 decision.

He told Cointelegraph:

“In hindsight, El Salvador was a trailblazer for normalizing Bitcoin as both an everyday currency and as a national investment, and the subsequent institutional adoption in other global regions has vindicated that decision. If El Salvador had left it until today to make Bitcoin legal tender, it’s fair to say there would be much less pushback.”

Brazilian lawmakers have expressed interest in establishing a legal framework for Bitcoin adoption, but concrete regulations have yet to be developed.

Bitcoin Country Adoption a Mixed Bag for National Economies

country adoption of bitcoin - Bitcoin Country Adoption

Bitcoin offers an alternative for purchasing goods and services, though most countries don’t consider it legal tender, and the economic impact of it becoming a mainstream payment option is unclear. Only two countries have adopted Bitcoin as legal tender. El Salvador became the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin in September 2021, and the Central African Republic followed suit in 2022. El Salvador’s digital currency treasury is $58 million in profit, according to the Nayib Bukele Portfolio Tracker website. 

The World Bank Group said the country’s economy has shown signs of improvement since 2021 thanks to public investment and tourism, among other factors. Lyn Alden, an investment researcher and founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin adoption as a medium of exchange in different countries would likely have “significant impacts,” some of which are hard to predict. “I would expect that the majority of the impacts would be positive and would expect that if Bitcoin reaches this level, it will occur over a rather long period of time,” she said. “Cross-border trade would likely be improved, especially in places like Africa, which has over 40 currencies, and Latin America, which has over 30 currencies.” 

Expert Opinion on Bitcoin’s Impact

According to Alden, the current debt-based monetary system used in countries like the United States is incompatible with a sound currency like Bitcoin. She said the financial system would likely require an overhaul before Bitcoin could be used as a mainstream alternative for purchasing goods and services, such as the economy shifting to become more equity-based. 

How Would Mainstream Bitcoin Adoption Impact Economies? 

Alice Liu, lead researcher at CoinMarketCap, told Cointelegraph that mainstream Bitcoin adoption for purchasing goods and services would likely have “mixed economic impacts” if it were to become a reality. On the positive side, Liu says it could boost financial inclusion, streamline cross-border transactions and reduce payment-processing costs. It would also allow some countries to de-dollarize their economies and have more control over their economic policies. 

“However, currently, the annualized 30-day volatility for Bitcoin is still around 50%, making it harder for businesses to manage pricing and financial planning,” Liu said. “This shift would likely require central banks to implement coordinated and collective regulations around the use of Bitcoin, and it could challenge traditional banking systems and monetary policy control.” 

Bitcoin has been a hot topic in November's run-up to the US election. Former US President and 2024 Republican nominee Donald Trump has been very vocal about supporting Bitcoin, floating plans such as the potential for Bitcoin to be used as a reserve asset in the US if he is elected. 

The Role of Bitcoin as a Reserve Asset vs. Legal Tender: Benefits, Challenges, and Regulatory Impact

Pubkey Liu says that using Bitcoin as a reserve asset differs from adopting it as a legal tender. Still, it could “appeal as a reset mechanism,” given the US federal government’s debt of over $35 trillion and the “Federal Reserve’s struggle to implement effective monetary policies.” “Bitcoin’s fixed supply could prevent the overprinting of money, helping to curb inflation in the long term,” Liu said. “However, when using Bitcoin as a currency for daily transactions, it may come with challenges, such as volatility and infrastructure issues, speed, cost, wallet, DeFi UX, and more.” 

She thinks “the real challenge” for Bitcoin adoption will likely come from its integration into the global financial system and assets markets. “Robust regulations will be crucial to prevent market manipulation, ensure tax compliance, and secure transaction transparency,” Liu said. In May 2023, the European Council adopted the first comprehensive legal framework for the industry. Most countries and jurisdictions have been slow to create a framework for Bitcoin and the broader market, with some outright banning its use.

The United States and Bitcoin: The More Things Change… 

US dominance linked to the dollar, not Bitcoin Caroline Bowler, CEO of Australian exchange BTC Markets, said countries with instability in their civil institutions and government operations, weak infrastructure, and limp currencies would likely find a safe harbor in Bitcoin if adopted as legal tender. “This view is hard to understand from the developed world, where many have forgotten, or take for granted, what was required to get the monetary stability we now enjoy,” she told Cointelegraph. “Not so in countries such as Argentina or El Salvador where the ravages of inflation, civil war, and dependency on the US have long left their mark.”

Both El Salvador and Argentina are among the poorest countries in the world. In May, some reports suggested that Argentina might consider emulating El Salvador’s approach to Bitcoin to help its ailing economy, though it hasn’t happened yet. “Instead, it is far more likely they will follow the Chinese and explore a digital US dollar via a central bank digital currency.” Central bank digital currency (CBDC) is a digital form of a country’s fiat currency. It is centralized and backed by the nation’s central bank. According to the Human Rights Foundation, which unveiled a CBDC tracker in November 2023, out of 193 existing governments worldwide, 16 have deployed a working CBDC to the public. Just 39 have built a pilot, and 64 are still in the research phase.

Bitcoin Needs to be a Store of Value First 

Steven Lubka, managing director at Bitcoin platform Swan Bitcoin, told Cointelegraph there are “vanishingly few scenarios” where Bitcoin is likely to be adopted as a primary currency for purchasing where it has not first become a typical store of value. “Using Bitcoin for purchases at a broad scale while most people still use US dollars as a unit of account introduced many frictions that make this scenario very unlikely,” he said. 

According to Lubka, Bitcoin’s most significant benefits for modern economies “don’t come from having yet another payment rail” but instead from providing a unique form of collateral or store of value. “Bitcoin adoption, and its benefits, are extremely path dependent, and store-of-value adoption must come first to realize later benefits from daily use currency,” he said.

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Bitcoin Adoption by Country In 2024

world map - Bitcoin Country Adoption

Countries that lead in Bitcoin adoption are steadily accumulating Bitcoin, and the global adoption rate is also steadily improving. In 2024, the countries making the top of the list for Bitcoin ownership include:

  • United States
  • China
  • United Kingdom
  • Germany

Top 10 Countries with the Most Bitcoin

While Bitcoin is still far from being wholly accepted by the government in most countries, citizens have found ways to transact in the digital market. Let’s look at which country on our list owns the most Bitcoin.

Georgia

 The Georgian government currently holds around 66 BTC, valued at around $4.2 million.

Finland

After the Finnish government confiscated 1,889 BTC from different narcotic cases in 2018, they were forfeited to the country and then sold in 2021 for $48 million. Currently, the country holds 90 BTC.

Venezuela

The Venezuelan government currently holds 240 BTC, with 10.30% of the population owning it. The government tried its hand at the market in 2018, but it shut down in 2022 after corruption scandals surfaced.

Bhutan

Holding 621 BTC and a net worth of 24.61 million, Bhutan started mining Bitcoin in 2019, when the value was around $5,000 per BTC. The price has skyrocketed to over $60,000, an all-time high.

El Salvador

The country first started buying BTC in 2021, and as of February of the current year, its Bitcoin holdings of 5,690 BTC are worth over $397 million, more than 40% of profit. Nayib Bukele, the Salvadorean president who adopted Bitcoin in the country, ran a program that contributed to the country’s Bitcoin income, offering expedited citizenship to immigrants who donate BTC to the government.

Ukraine

Around 12.7% of the Ukrainian population, approximately 5.5 million, currently hold BTC. The Ukrainian government has 46,351 BTC, and like other members of the list, these assets were seized from a former government official, Yury Shchigol, due to corruption charges.

Germany

The German government confiscated around 50,000 BTC in 2018. According to the national police, the combined value of over $2 billion in assets made this seizure the biggest in the country’s history. Two men spearheaded the fraud and also ran a piracy website until 2013.

United Kingdom

The UK is number three on our list, with its government holding around 61,000 BTC valued at $4 billion. These were confiscated from Jian Wen and Zhimin Qian, two money launderers who used Bitcoin for criminal activities.

China

The country with the most significant worldwide population is also the second-largest Bitcoin owner. The Chinese government seized around 190,000 BTC from the PlusToken pyramidal scheme, which siphoned around $2 to $2.9 billion in BTC at the time, cementing China’s position as number two on the list of countries with the most Bitcoin.

USA

The USA answers which country owns the most Bitcoin, accumulating 215,000 BTC owned by the American government, which is around $8.3 billion in value. Most of these BTC have been collected through government seizures, and the country’s recent adoption of BTC as a legal currency will only help increase that number over time.

Bitcoin Adoption and Its Factors

While many countries have adopted the Bitcoin market as part of their economy or are at least friendly with it, each faces hurdles in the adoption process, leading to disparities in the percentages and overall popularity in a given country. Let’s look at some factors that affect popularity in a country.

Economic Stability

One of the most important factors in the overall popularity of Bitcoin and the market is that in countries with unstable economies, their population is less receptive to risk investing in a highly volatile market. Not only is stability important, but the overall wealth distribution is also meaningful. 

Although it is the first Latin American country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal currency, El Salvador has made slow progress in population adaptation. Its economy recently improved after years of instability. The percentage of the population that owns Bitcoin is meager for a Bitcoin-friendly country, yet it is steadily improving under President Nayib Bukele’s government.

Technological Knowledge

One of the main reasons for the high number of bitcoins owned by the USA is the technological knowledge of its population and the availability of technological devices to the general population. To keep up with the changes in security protocols and more, it is necessary to have access to modern devices, technical knowledge of the whole transaction process, the technology behind.

Limited Access to Traditional Banking

Blockchain technology allows people with little to no access to a solid traditional banking infrastructure to access different financial services. This technology will enable people to participate in their local economy more efficiently by giving them access to low-cost digital money for their transactions. They might also use the growing decentralized finance ecosystem to access more advanced financial options, like personal and business credits.

Inflationary Safeguard

Bitcoin are designed to be deflationary. Digital currency usage can help fight hyperinflation in developing countries, allowing people to safeguard their capital in a liquid and transferable way. This is why Argentina’s President, Javier Milei, adopted Bitcoin to fight hyperinflation.

El Salvador VS USA

To better clarify the different factors that affect the popularity of the digital currency market in a given country, let’s compare two famous nations: El Salvador, the first Latin American developing country to adopt it, and the USA, the number one Bitcoin holder.

Stability

While the USA legalized the usage of Bitcoin in March of this year, the strength of its economy helped increase the popularity of digital currencies among investors years before the adoption. Conversely, El Salvador adopted Bitcoin as a legal currency in 2021. Yet, its population is still adapting to the usage of Bitcoin, as they are still recovering from a lackluster economic situation, discouraging the population from investing in a volatile market.

Technology

It’s no secret that the USA is one of the most technologically advanced countries in the world. Most of the country's population has access to modern technology and knowledge sources, which allows potential investors, both large and small, to research and prepare for their investment process properly. 

On the other hand, El Salvador’s proper contact with Bukele’s government after the controversial but positive decision to adopt Bitcoin. The lack of technology due to the economic situation in the country and the lack of knowledge due to the negligible contact the general population has had with the digital currency market contributes to its slow but steady adaptation process.

Banking

El Salvador’s economy has improved immensely during the last few years. Nevertheless, the population's brunt is still improving their finances, so the financial options available to the general population are still limited. 

The people who have managed to invest in Bitcoin in the country have better opportunities for financial options, a positive point for the adaptation process. In contrast, the USA is one of the world's financial hubs, so much of its population can access solid banking and financing options without needing investment.

Inflation

Nayib Bukele faced the COVID-19 pandemic and its resulting global inflation rise, yet among the measures he took to face these challenges, the adoption of Bitcoin in 2021 served as a factor in fighting the increasing inflation in the country, which went from having the highest inflation rate in the country in 20 years during 2022 to one of the lowest of the region in 2024. 

While the USA has seen its share of inflation during the last couple of years, it has remained a problem that would need extra measures to control. However, the recent adoption of Bitcoin might be a safeguard against inflation in the future.

Bitcoin Socio-Economic Influence

As with everything, the Bitcoin world has pros and cons. These can affect a country's social and economic infrastructure positively and negatively. Let’s look at some of the effects Bitcoin adoption might cause in a country.

The Plus Side

One of the biggest benefits of digital currency adoption is the possibility of greater financial inclusion, especially for the population that doesn’t have access to traditional banking services. Bitcoin allow individuals to carry out transactions worldwide without centralized authorities, thus promoting international business and reducing transaction fees for small businesses. Thus, the global economy opens up to more people. 

The Negative Side

One of the main concerns about Bitcoin transactions is the potential facilitation of illegal activities. Money laundering, online scams, terrorism financing, and other illegal activities are some risks the world entails. Volatility is also a huge discouraging factor for potential investors, as prices can fluctuate tremendously with short notice.

The negative impact of on the environment is also a major reason for concern. Bitcoin requires advanced state-of-the-art algorithms, which require tremendous amounts of energy to function and maintain the network properly. Some estimates suggest that the carbon footprint of Bitcoin mining alone is equivalent to that of a small country. 

The Internet, Bitcoin’s Adoption Backbone

Bitcoin’s adoption into society requires effective and efficient network systems that allow constant, stable connection. One of the main reasons for this is security and the ability to conduct transactions at high speeds, allowing Bitcoin’s effective integration into financial institutions. An optimal network service allows both individual investors as well as countries adopting Bitcoin to:

  • Improve transaction speed  
  • Improve security  
  • Improve energy sustainability  
  • Accommodate large-scale Bitcoin operations  

Countries attempting to enter Bitcoin need an optimal network infrastructure. The market's volatility requires internet speed and stability.  

Stability and Speed

Thanks to the large amount of transactional data that blockchain technology stores, Bitcoin requires constant stability and high download and upload speeds. Blockchain technology ensures that it’s almost impossible for data to be hacked or corrupted. Countries looking into adopting Bitcoin as legal currency must ensure that their national network infrastructure:  

  • Can keep up with scalations in blockchain technology  
  • Ensures reliable internal and external servers  
  • Provides stability and speed.  

The Energy Issue

As mentioned, Bitcoin mining is extremely energy-intensive and produces high contamination levels. As sustainability and alternate energy sources are becoming a commitment the world over, being able to use other energy sources, like solar energy, can have many benefits in the long run:  

  • Diminished energy costs  
  • Increased profits  
  • Access to massive power sources that provide uninterrupted Bitcoin investment 

Considering these factors, we can see that the future of a sustainable Bitcoin economy is closely linked to solar energy. The method is currently being developed and optimized to harness solar energy better and more photovoltaic energy with less waste. If the issues are resolved, solar-powered Bitcoin transactions are the answer to reducing carbon emissions and dependence on power grids.  

The Challenges of Adopting Bitcoin

While making Bitcoin a legal currency in any country could be seen as a major leap forward, it doesn’t come without its share of current and future problems, as Bitcoin's decentralized, digital aspect complicates matters quite a bit.  

Transaction Capacity

Bitcoin’s current transaction processing capacity is minimal compared to other systems. To give an idea, while Bitcoin can currently handle around seven transactions per second, Visa can handle 24,000 transactions per second. Mainstream adoption of Bitcoin currently hinges on improving its transaction capacity. Some projects, like Lightning Network, focus on improving these aspects, but these are still in the early stages of development.  

Regulation

A worldwide problem governments are currently facing regarding Bitcoin is regulating it properly. Regulations can vary and change quickly, so uncertainty is rampant, and adoption is greatly hindered. Legal certainty achieved through clean and stable regulations is key for people and businesses to adopt Bitcoin.  

Security

Bitcoin’s technology and decentralized nature make it highly secure. Nevertheless, third-party applications and services like trading platforms are vulnerable to hacking and scams. Improving security services and solutions is paramount to creating trust and promoting adoption.  

Volatility

The instability of the digital currency market deters many investors. It is the main reason behind many of the trust issues possible investors have with Bitcoin in general and a deciding factor in analyzing which country owns the most Bitcoin. One potential solution to this problem is stablecoins.  

User Experience

Since Bitcoin is a digital currency that requires technical knowledge and hardware, it can be very intimidating for users without access to that knowledge. To make Bitcoin more accessible to more users, it is necessary to simplify the user interfaces in apps and platforms, provide excellent customer support, and make more user-friendly functionalities.  

Trust

Not only does volatility affect the general population's trust in Bitcoin, but illicit activities have also been carried out using it, giving it a bad name that has been difficult to clean. A public campaign to educate people on positive cases of Bitcoin usage, transparency, and public support campaigns is necessary to create the population's trust and acceptance.  

Integration with Traditional Banking Options

To effectively adopt Bitcoin, it must be seamlessly integrated into traditional banking systems. This means operating with traditional banks without issues, converting between Bitcoin and traditional currencies easily, and supporting widespread acceptance by the whole financial sector.  

Legalities and Taxes

One of the biggest reasons people distrust Bitcoin is the lack of proper guidance on its legality and tax impact. Unclear tax implications are a big deterrent for many people, as the implications might create a huge legal tax problem.  

Competition

Bitcoin is the undisputed ruler of the market by a wide margin, this supremacy is not guaranteed for the future. Technologies with faster transactions, more privacy, or better features may be on the horizon to take the number-one position in the market. Relevancy in a constant evolution market is one of the biggest challenges Bitcoin might face in the future.  

Energy

As mentioned, Bitcoin mining is incredibly energy-consuming. The sustainability and worldwide acceptance of Bitcoin hinges on developing green, sustainable energy methods or improving the energy consumption of the existing methods.

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Popular Bitcoin Country Adoption Methods

adoption methods - Bitcoin Country Adoption

Predicting Bitcoin's future is like looking into a crystal ball. There is so little data to draw from; everything about it is new, unpredictable, terrifying, and full of opportunity. Until El Salvador adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, there were no data points to analyze. But this may provide insight into the next country-sized domino to fall.

What motivates a country to adopt Bitcoin? Internal and external catalysts will vary by location but include: 

  • Desperation
  • Legacy
  • Political turmoil
  • Currency collapse
  • Opportunity
  • First-mover advantage
  • Wealth appreciation. 

These potential motivators are distributed unevenly among the population and government officials. As such, they all hold powerful sway as metrics that might spark the next seismic shift in the monetary landscape. 

The Three Styles of Bitcoin Adoption: Top Down, Hybrid, and Bottom Up

What would Bitcoin adoption look like for a country and its people? Before the data, let's examine potential adoption styles. 

  • The first style is top-down government adoption, which provides laws to guide the country toward Bitcoin adoption with potentially only modest population support. 
  • Hybrid adoption is when a moderate population with growing momentum incentivizes the government to begin Bitcoin laws. 
  • Bottom-up adoption is led by an overwhelming adoption from the population, all but forcing the government to fight and eventually comply.

Countries adopting Bitcoin will give their reasons; trends will eventually emerge, and history will show which metrics meant the most. 

Top-Down Adoption

The government steps in and codifies Bitcoin into law before widespread adoption amongst the population. This is the least preferred but fastest adoption mechanism. Forced adoption runs against the free-market and self-sovereign principles that many Bitcoiners hold. El Salvador was likely a hybrid adoption case in time, as word of Strike App spread and adoption accelerated organically, paired with a forward-thinking government.

However, El Salvador progressed quickly and opted for the top-down approach. El Salvador's president, Nayib Bukele, provided several reasons to offer up as data points for their top-down adoption: high remittance-based economy, negative migration numbers, dependence on a monetary policy of their choosing, and unbanked citizens. Each reason is rational, and fixing each issue benefits the country.

These data points will likely be consistent for top-down approaches as governments look to plug the holes of their monetary sinking ships or escape the suffrage of sanctions. This method is susceptible to contagion as world leaders must be viewed as innovative, forward-thinking visionaries. To risk another world leader gaining the first mover’s clout may push countries in a similar region towards adoption. 

Hybrid Adoption

Enough of the population leads this adoption style to incentivize a forward-thinking government to capture the movement and codify Bitcoin into law. By riding the groundswell of adoption early, a government can capture momentum and count Bitcoin's success as its own. The free markets will have already incentivized adoption, innovation, and education. The government must take Bitcoin the last 20-30% of the way to a full Bitcoin standard.

Common traits of such a country will likely be higher inflation rates, unstable monetary policy, moderate cellphone penetration, active social media, and lower gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. This method is the most likely for most countries, as politicians face game theory choices that could devastate their political careers.

Such politicians can embrace the younger-skewing, innovative, dopamine-infused, social media-engaged, futuristic monetary system and gain favor, or crack down on Bitcoin adoption and potentially lose their political careers. Political parties will be at odds with the younger generations and face extinction at the ballot box. Like the top-down approach, this adoption method is highly susceptible to contagion. Other countries in a similar region signal Bitcoin adoption; it pressures governments toward monetary progress. 

Bottom-Up Adoption

The most preferred method of any free market and self-sovereign individual may be the potentially messiest adoption method. Governments unwilling to embrace the hybrid method will likely refrain from codifying Bitcoin into law for specific reasons of power preservation. This can lead to bans, crackdowns, stiff regulations, fines, abuse, and other human rights violations. The Bitcoin movement will likely continue underground, slowly building momentum and entrenchment. 

Driving Bitcoin Adoption

Bottom-up adoption will happen in countries with moderate to high corruption, neutral migration numbers, moderate to high urban populations, active social media, and very high cellphone penetration. Countries and governments with the most to lose in terms of monetary power, geopolitical influence, and untethered spending budgets will be the most resistant. 

Government Response to Bitcoin Adoption

Free markets will naturally select an open and mathematically based monetary policy, but governments will likely attempt to convince the population that it is not to their advantage. Social media and cellphone penetration will be key to circumventing misinformation. The free market will converge on Bitcoin, but governments will be faced with the choice to either push for, pull grudgingly, or fight Bitcoin adoption. Countries could be stuck in this adoption method for quite some time. 

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The Case for Nation-State Bitcoin Adoption in 2024

Bitcoin adoption can help countries boost their economic sovereignty by reducing dependency on traditional financial systems that can be influenced by external forces, such as sanctions. Countries like Russia and Iran have already begun adopting Bitcoin to limit the impact of sanctions on their economies.  

With Bitcoin's growing status as a global asset, adopting it can help countries bolster their economies and improve trade relations with nations that might be sympathetic to their political stance. In this way, Bitcoin can help nations establish greater economic independence. 

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